Estofex is natuurlijk wel meer gericht op zwaar (on)weer (severe thunderstorms).
Ik vind dit er niet slecht uitzien hoor:
To the south ... thunderstorms will likely organized due to strong DLS ... and multicells and mesocyclones are forecast ... capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts. A few tornadoes are not ruled out ... best chances seem to exist along the coastal regions of Germany, over Benelux and northwestern Germany, and over France, where low-level wind shear will be most favorable.
Die moederate is voor Frankrijk heeft te maken met MCSen die daar verwacht worden:
Thunderstorms that form along the cold front and further east along prefrontal convergence expected by latest model output in the range of the DCVA regime will likely be well-organized ... and are expected to merge into a few MCS over northern Spain/ southern and central France ... moving ENE-ward. Rather strong low-level jet is expected at the southern edge of the building system ... and large MCS may evolve over central/southern France. Damaging wind gusts and flash flooding should be the main threat. Supercells are also expected ... capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts. A few tornadoes are not ruled out given relatively strong LLS.
Bron:
http://estofex.met.fu-berlin.de/outlook/html/200507280922cf.html
Outlook over de periode vandaag 6 UTC tot morgen 6 UTC.
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