Lees ook eens: A Reassessment of Global Warming Theory:
Bericht van: Wout(Hillegom|ZH|NL) , 11-01-2010 22:58
... "Chill, A Reassessment of Global Warming Theory: Does Climate Change Mean the World is Cooling, and If So What Should We Do About It? " geschreven door Peter Taylor, een milieu deskundige uit de onverdachte groene hoek
uit een van de reviews :
This is a truly fascinating book. It is divided into two parts: the first part is a review of the most up-to-date science on a range of subjects relevant to climate; the second part is a discussion on policy responses to a changing climate - how society can become resilient to a cooling or warming climate and at the same time live within the limits of a world of finite resources. These are big subjects and Taylor tackles them with authority and wisdom.
Taylor's authority comes from a long track history at the sharp end of environmental science. His career has drawn him into a broad spectrum of science associated mainly with pollution. Significantly, he has on several occasions successfully challenged environmental modelling being used to justify polluting activities, leading to international treaties banning the activities. He was also pivotal in the UN acceptance of the precautionary principle with regards to pollution: the burden of proof is on the polluter. Taylor's wisdom comes simply from having no vested interest, beyond seeing scientific truth prevail, and protecting the natural world and the human qualities of a truly civilised society. There can be nobody better placed to provide a thorough review of this complex subject.
en
With computer modeling, the model is only as accurate as the information being put in. The climate models have consistently failed to predict patterns, and need to be adjusted in the light of new information. Taylor has successfully critiqued computer modelling in the past, and sees the same process in action here. The models portray a rise in temperature in response to an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. The data shows that this is simply not the case, and even in the last century global temperatures have swung between extremes which bear no relation to greenhouse gases.
The only science that has successfully predicted global temperature variations is the cycles of solar electromagnetic radiation related to sunspots. Sunspot activity has shown observable and regular cycles, and these cycles have coincided with global temperature variations, and climatic cycles, for example El Nino. The current fall in global temperatures since 1998 were predicted by observation of sunspots. It is disquieting that continued cooling is predicted for many years to come, with the possibility of entering a mini ice age by around 2030. This will cause major crop failures across the northern temperate zone, leading to massive food shortages.
This context sets the scene for the second part of the book. Taylor questions the sense of current policies designed specifically to reduce how much carbon dioxide we put into the atmosphere, on two counts.
uit een van de reviews :
This is a truly fascinating book. It is divided into two parts: the first part is a review of the most up-to-date science on a range of subjects relevant to climate; the second part is a discussion on policy responses to a changing climate - how society can become resilient to a cooling or warming climate and at the same time live within the limits of a world of finite resources. These are big subjects and Taylor tackles them with authority and wisdom.
Taylor's authority comes from a long track history at the sharp end of environmental science. His career has drawn him into a broad spectrum of science associated mainly with pollution. Significantly, he has on several occasions successfully challenged environmental modelling being used to justify polluting activities, leading to international treaties banning the activities. He was also pivotal in the UN acceptance of the precautionary principle with regards to pollution: the burden of proof is on the polluter. Taylor's wisdom comes simply from having no vested interest, beyond seeing scientific truth prevail, and protecting the natural world and the human qualities of a truly civilised society. There can be nobody better placed to provide a thorough review of this complex subject.
en
With computer modeling, the model is only as accurate as the information being put in. The climate models have consistently failed to predict patterns, and need to be adjusted in the light of new information. Taylor has successfully critiqued computer modelling in the past, and sees the same process in action here. The models portray a rise in temperature in response to an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. The data shows that this is simply not the case, and even in the last century global temperatures have swung between extremes which bear no relation to greenhouse gases.
The only science that has successfully predicted global temperature variations is the cycles of solar electromagnetic radiation related to sunspots. Sunspot activity has shown observable and regular cycles, and these cycles have coincided with global temperature variations, and climatic cycles, for example El Nino. The current fall in global temperatures since 1998 were predicted by observation of sunspots. It is disquieting that continued cooling is predicted for many years to come, with the possibility of entering a mini ice age by around 2030. This will cause major crop failures across the northern temperate zone, leading to massive food shortages.
This context sets the scene for the second part of the book. Taylor questions the sense of current policies designed specifically to reduce how much carbon dioxide we put into the atmosphere, on two counts.
Bericht laatst bijgewerkt: 11-01-2010 23:05
