Er staat alleen maar dat in een bepaald gedeelte van het Arctisch gebied de stroming gunstig was om meerjarig ijs op spot te houden. Verder les louter speculatie.
Ik heb nog niets gelezen van je dat wijst op iets anders dan hoop, waar uiteraard niets mis mee is, maar een mening moet je onderbouwen met houdbare argumentatie.
Dat komt van wat het NSIDC in hun vorige artikels van vorige jaren geschreven heeft, en in de nieuwe update ook weer gezet is:
The strong negative AO has contributed to cold temperatures throughout much of the U.S. and northern Europe, and the notable snow events in the eastern U.S. However, the impact on the Arctic has been quite different. First, a negative AO tends to bring warmer than normal temperatures to the Arctic. This factor contributed to the low ice conditions in the Atlantic side of the Arctic, discussed above. Second, the AO has a strong effect on Arctic sea ice motion. The pattern of winds associated with a strongly negative AO tends to reduce export of ice out of the Arctic through the Fram Strait. This helps keep more of the older, thicker ice within the Arctic. While little old ice remains, sequestering what is left may help keep the September extent from dropping as low as it did in the last few years. Much will depend on the weather patterns that set up this spring and summer.
